Prediction market risk management

Most prediction-market accounts die from sizing, not from being ‘wrong once.’ Here’s a practical risk framework—paired with Polifly’s practice tools.

Hard rules that help

Max % of bankroll per idea, max correlated exposure, and a cool-down after big losses.

Never increase size to ‘make it back.’

Practice the rules

Paper trade inside Polifly until you can follow your own rules under boredom and FOMO.

Related guides

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Educational software only. Not financial advice. Markets involve risk of loss.

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